2009年4月25日土曜日

IACA電話会議を開催しTallinn会議の準備をする



4月2日の東京時間20時から、定例のIACA電話会議を開催し、次のTallinn会議へ向けての諸課題を審議した。議事録のドラフトは、次のとおりである。機能別の部会がいよいよ始動してきてくれたのは、ありがたい。メンバーシップ部会の部会長人事は、何度も辞任されてこまったが、インドのLiyaquat Khan氏が引き受けてくれて、精力的に推進はじめた。私のGlobal Development部会も、アジアの地域にコンサルタントのIACA支部を作る方向でまとまった。EAACの際には、創設タスクフォースが実質立ち上げをおこなうことになろう。ICA2010、15th EAACについても、それぞれの委員長が徐々に準備をすすめている。IACAは、IAAのSectionであるが、諸Committeeとの連携もdelegateを部会から派遣してコラボレートしていく予定である。

Attendance

Committee members in attendance:
Hideyuki Yoshida, Chair
Mike Toothman, Past Chair
Ken Buffin, Vice Chair
Margaret Sherwood, Executive Director
Morten Harbitz, Secretary/Treasurer
Michael Codron
Kenneth Hohman
Liyaquat Khan
Alexander van Stee
Emmanuel Tassin
Segundo Tascon
Andrew Vaughan
Gerd Warncke

Committee members absent with regrets were:
Nick Dumbreck
Nicholas Salter

Committee members absent were:
Barbara Addie
Grace Jiang
Zainal Abidin Mohd-Kassim
Janina Slawski

Guests:
Peter Withey, Chairman of Scientific Committee, ICA 2010

Because of the guest participant, item VII on the agenda was discussed first.

2010 Biennial Meeting 7-12 March with ICA Meeting – Cape Town

Peter Withey and Mike Codron gave the committee an update of the proposed agenda for the congress, where there still is a possibility to make changes. They urged the Committee members to look at the itinerary and give suggestions to new topics. The whole structure will depend on the topics.

There will be tracks designated to the different sections throughout the congress. IACA has been given 2 sessions Monday and Tuesday and 3 sessions Wednesday; each of which will last for approximately 1 ½ hours. IACA does not have to fill all 7 sessions, if there is no programme. Also the Professionalism Track could be interesting to IACA members. Some of the members in the IACA Committee have offered to write a paper, amongst whom are Jay Jaffe and Mike Toothman. Mike’s presentation will take 1 ½ hours with discussion. He will send what he has by now to Peter Withey and Mike Codron.

IACA’s Organizing Subcommittee will have to discuss topics and how to get papers on IACA relevant matters. The Committee ought to have a telephone conference pretty soon. Following persons are members of this committee: Mike Codron, Liyaquat Khan, Jay Jaffee, Ken Buffin, Andrew Vaughan, Mike Toothman and Hideyuki Yoshida.

Tuesday and Thursday afternoon are occupied with social activities, and the official dinner is Tuesday night. The IACA General Meeting will be Monday at 17.00. As this is at the end of the day, it will not be a problem if the meeting takes more time than supposed. On the agenda for the General Meeting will be the secretary’s report and the treasurer’s report, and election of new members of the Committee. We shall need a nominating committee. After the Committee members are clear, the officers will be elected.

The IACA lunch can be held Wednesday. The Max Lander Award winner will be presented during the lunch. Peter Withey needs a list of invited people (with accompanying persons), in order to make proper arrangements.

For the IACA Committee Dinner Monday seems to be best choice. ICA will find a proper place, but need to know how many will attend.

Secretary’s Report

Amended version of the minutes had been circulated to the Committee Members. The minutes were approved. Morten Harbitz tells Christian Levac to post it on IACA’s website.

Treasurer’s report.

2008 Financial Information
The 2008 financial accounts are OK. Morten Harbitz will split it on the different quarters by next meeting.

Proposed Budget 2009-2012 – Approve 2009
We have received a paper from IAA, indicating increased costs at the Secretariat. We can anticipate a further increase of the dues to IAA up to $10 per member. The current financial outlook for IACA has no room for a further increase of costs without increasing the income. It is therefore important to increase the number of members, from the current 582.

The budget for 2009 does not contain any additional expenses at the Tokyo Meeting (except the $500 that are set off for total expenses for odd-year meetings in 2009).

IAA also indicates extra costs for a computer. We need to know more about this. Morten Harbitz gets information from the IAA Secretariat.

Morten will get a report on the investments and bring the information back to the committee at next meeting.

Executive Director’s Report

Website update
Most is updated, but Margaret Sherwood needs a little help from Ken Buffin and Ken Hohman. Also the historic data may need some updating. It turned up that the German text is not good. Gerd Warncke will send corrected text to IAA. We also need to get the Spanish and French text checked.

A Nominating Committee needs to be formed.

Margaret has got an email from Spain with an invitation to hold a colloquium there in 2012. That year is occupied, and Margaret will reply that 2016 is available.

We ought to publicize that members can pay the dues directly to IAA.

IAA Strategic Plan

There has been considerable input from many sources. IAA is also studying the question of governance. Both items will be discussed at the Tallinn meeting – they are on the 60 day agenda for the Council. The voting system is under debate. So there is a lot of activity going on. It looks, however, that the sections are relatively unscathed from the governance paper. Hideyuki Yoshida will try to make IACA still a member of the Executive Committee. The Committee members were urged to read both documents, and if possible attend the Council Meeting.

Function Committees’ Reports – Membership, Terms of Reference, and Action Plans

Professionalism Committee
Emmanuel Tassin has just stepped into the chair’s shoes. He will try to send discussion material to the Committee members before the Tallinn meeting.

He told that in Europe CEIOPS has caused a lot of work.

Morten Harbitz is the Norwegian representative in IAA’s Professional Committee, and can report from those meetings.

Publications and Research Joint Committee
Andrew Vaughan is trying to get info from previous chairs and form the historic papers. It was mentioned that the books from the IAA Congresses can provide interesting information.

Andrew hopes to have a newsletter done towards the end of April.

Ken Buffin told that there is a very interesting service on papers from the PBSS Section. The Committee Members are sending info on possible interesting papers to the editor in PBSS. Could we consider doing something similar?

Also, it was told that CAS is awarding the Hachemeister Price this year. They have some 90 papers for consideration. Most of them are very academic, but 6 - 8 papers are very interesting with practical angles. It could be worth reading them.

Membership Services Committee
Margaret Sherwood has tried to get a new chair for this committee, but so far with no success. There is one potential, who still has not said no. If this fails, Liyaquat Khan would be a good choice. As Margaret is waiting a final answer from the other candidate, she would like to see this first. It seems that this problem will be solved before the Tallinn Meeting.

Global Development Committee
At the conference call 24.02.2009 there was an interesting discussion. Many of the functions in ACA and CCA can be copied when a regional organization is formed. Hideyuki Yoshida told that he would like to use the EAAC Conference in the process of forming the new organization – the Asia Pacific Ocean Actuarial Consultants Organization. There will be need for a task force to found this organization. This will be discussed at the next meeting of this committee, in Tallinn at lunch after the IACA Committee Meeting.

When this organization is formed, the next regions in line are Latin America and Africa.

Convention Function Committee

5 February 2009 – ACA – Gatwick
The meeting went very well.

5-7 October 2009 – PBSS – Tokyo
The program is on the website. IACA has been invited to organize one session.

Hideyuki Yoshida, Ken Buffin and Yvonne Chen will speak at the conference.

Hideyuki urged the members to make an effort to attend the conference.

12 – 15 October 2009 – EAAC - Korea
Bozenna Hinton and Grace Jiang are appointed as co chairs.

Hideyuki Yoshida and Liyaquat Khan will speak at the conference, and there will be two other IACA-related speakers. If anybody should be interested to speak, they should give notice to Grace, Bozenna or Hideyuki. Ken Buffin could be willing, but there is a heavy travelling burden at that time, so it may be difficult.

1 – 4 November 2009 CCA – Tucson, Arizona
Ken Hohman told that the plans are to recommend two sessions. They are trying to get speakers.

Next Biennial Meetings

2012 – February or March – With Global Conference of Actuaries, PBSS and IAAHS – Probably Mumbai, India
Liyaquat Khan told that the planning committee had delivered two reports, the last one 22.03.2009. The planning started back in 2008 in conjunction with the Global Conference of Actuaries. The proposal is now to have the meeting in September, when the climate is best, and in New Delhi.

Because of the latest turmoils IAA says that this has to be handled very carefully. It is still not clear that PBSS and IAAHS agree with the proposition. We need to check with them at the Tallinn Meeting. Hideyuki Yoshida will send the report to the other two sections.

Next Meetings

Meeting 30 May 2009, 10.30 am to 12.00 noon local time – Tallinn, Estonia
Only 4 committee Members will be present in Tallinn. A lot has said that they will join by telephone. Christian Levac will see to that the telephone works this time.

2009年4月12日日曜日

公認会計士協会にてMCEVについて発表




3月30日に開催された公認会計士協会の保険会計研究会で,ヨーロッパのCFO Forumが昨年6月に発表した市場整合的エンベッディド・バリューMarket Consistent Embedded Value)について、2時間ほど100ページ程のプレゼン資料の発表を行った。保険IFRS Phsase2やSolvency IIの手法と類似している点も多数あり、皆さん大変興味をもたれたようである。金融庁の方からその場でいただいた質問は、ユニットリンクに関する話で、なぜ従来のEVに比べてよい結果がでてくるのかという鋭い質問であった。海外に照会したら、次のような回答が帰ってきて報告させていただいた。

Unit linked contracts tend to look good under MCEV as the removal of a risk adjusted discount rate being replaced with a risk free rate tends to be greater than the non hedgeable risk allowance added back in. This happens as the risk adjusted discount rate makes an average allowance for risk across all contracts and UL tends to be lower risk so under this method bears more risk allowance than necessary. However under MCEV using a risk free and a separate allowance for risk will tend to increase the value.

つまり、従前は、全商品共通のrisk adjusted discount rate でリスクへのアローワンスをしていたが、MCEVになって、non hedgeable risk allowance で対応することになり、相対的にリスクの低いユニットリンク商品が、MCEVでは公平に評価されて価値も高くなったもようである。

今後商品政策にも影響を与えていくことになろうと思う。

また、監査法人との関係で言えば、現状では、わが国ではMCEV(EV)は監査の対象になっていない。
一方で、保険会社のホームページにおいて、EVは投資家やアナリスト等に公開されている。
MCEV(EV)の計算の方法と正確性に関する保証は、新しいMCEV原則で必須要件となったが、現状はアクチュアリー・コンサルティング会社によって意見書が付されている。一方、欧州では監査法人が意見を付与よる場合が増えていると聞く。IFRS PhaseII とMCEVが、類似の計算手法と共通のインフラを使用することが高い確度で予想される。(Economic CapitalやESG)。このような状況を勘案すると、日本の監査法人においても、当局との連携のもとにMCEVを監査(アシュアランス)業務の対象とするなど、近い将来に実施することになるIFRS保険負債の監査に十分な品質で取り組めるテクニカル基盤の準備を進めておく必要があると思われる。